Every anytime-goalscorer prop where a book has posted a price: our chance-to-score estimate, the best price on offer and what that price implies once the margin is removed.
We do not publish an edge or an EV on these — no graded, price-attached scorer ledger exists to test one against, so we have never checked whether these estimates beat these prices.
What is on this board. Tonight we project 1040 club fixture(s) and 104 national-team fixture(s). Books have posted anytime-goalscorer prices on 49 of the club fixtures and 0 of the national-team ones — those are the only fixtures here. The rest are not a value gap. No book has posted a scorer market on them, so there is no price to disagree with; an absent market is not a missed opportunity. Within the priced fixtures we project 1078 players and 757 of them have a posted anytime price; the other 321 are not shown.
PlayerScores %Best priceImplied
Lamine YamalBarcelona vs Alavés · La Liga · 2026-10-31
53%
1.69DraftKing
53%
Michael OliseBayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga · 2026-10-31
50%
2.38BetMGM
38%
Salomón RondónPachuca vs Tigres UANL · Liga MX · 2026-10-31
Jamie LewelingVfB Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen · Bundesliga · 2026-10-31
15%
5.3FanDuel
17%
Cyriaque IriéSC Freiburg vs FC Augsburg · Bundesliga · 2026-10-31
15%
4.6BetMGM
20%
Mohammed KudusTottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace · Premier League · 2026-10-31
15%
3.75BetMGM
24%
Tom BischofBayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga · 2026-10-31
15%
5.5BetRivers
16%
"Scores %" is our chance-to-score estimate; "Implied" is what the best posted price implies once the bookmaker margin is removed (single-side scorer odds are de-vigged with a flat overround haircut, an approximation).
We used to publish the gap between those two as an edge, and an EV% built on it. Both are gone: there is no graded scorer ledger with prices attached anywhere on this site, so neither number has ever been tested against a result.
Model outliers: even elite strikers rarely exceed ~60-65% to score anytime, so any row with a model probability above ~70% is flagged as likely model overconfidence and sorted to the bottom — the rows stay visible for transparency, just caveated.
Track record: there is none. Club scorer estimates are calibrated — graded on 125,928 real started player-matches for how well the probabilities match observed rates — but no club scorer prop has ever been settled against a result with the price attached anywhere on this site, so nothing here has been shown to beat a book. We are recording every row we publish so that can eventually be answered. Not advice — information only.
For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Please bet responsibly. Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works →