⚽ Golden Boot race

TOP SCORERS

Players ranked by total expected goals across their group-stage matches — the model's read on the Golden Boot race. Updates as lineups firm up.

PlayerExp goalsGP
1
Harry KaneEngland · FW
2.64
3
2
Kai HavertzGermany · FW
2.57
3
3
Lionel MessiArgentina · FW
2.26
3
4
Romelu LukakuBelgium · FW
2.20
3
5
Cristiano RonaldoPortugal · FW
2.19
3
6
NeymarBrazil · FW
2.17
3
7
Kylian MbappéFrance · FW
2.08
3
8
Memphis DepayNetherlands · FW
1.17
3
9
Lautaro MartínezArgentina · FW
1.15
3
10
Ferran TorresSpain · FW
1.07
3
11
Rubén VargasSwitzerland · FW
1.05
3
12
Luis DíazColombia · FW
0.97
3
13
Luis SuárezColombia · FW
0.97
3
14
Andrej KramarićCroatia · FW
0.93
3
15
Patrik SchickCzech Republic · FW
0.92
3
16
Marko ArnautovićAustria · FW
0.92
3
17
Jonathan DavidCanada · FW
0.90
3
18
Julián AlvarezArgentina · FW
0.89
3
19
Mikel OyarzabalSpain · FW
0.82
3
20
Enner ValenciaEcuador · FW
0.80
3
21
RaphinhaBrazil · FW
0.78
3
22
Marcus RashfordEngland · FW
0.78
3
23
Ivan PerišićCroatia · FW
0.76
3
24
Vinícius JúniorBrazil · FW
0.75
3
25
Matheus CunhaBrazil · FW
0.75
3
26
Dani OlmoSpain · FW
0.73
3
27
Lamine YamalSpain · FW
0.71
3
28
Nick WoltemadeGermany · FW
0.71
3
29
Maximilian BeierGermany · FW
0.71
3
30
Son Heung-minSouth Korea · FW
0.70
3
31
Igor ThiagoBrazil · FW
0.69
3
32
Deniz UndavGermany · FW
0.66
3
33
Dan NdoyeSwitzerland · FW
0.65
3
34
Noah OkaforSwitzerland · FW
0.65
3
35
Gabriel MartinelliBrazil · FW
0.65
3
36
Bukayo SakaEngland · FW
0.63
3
37
Mehdi TaremiIran · FW
0.62
3
38
Yéremy PinoSpain · FW
0.62
3
39
Darwin NúñezUruguay · FW
0.61
3
40
Ricardo PepiUSA · FW
0.60
3
41
Breel EmboloSwitzerland · FW
0.59
3
42
Ismaïla SarrSenegal · FW
0.59
3
43
Brahim DíazMorocco · FW
0.58
3
44
Luka ModrićCroatia · MF
0.56
3
45
Luiz HenriqueBrazil · FW
0.56
3
46
Zeki AmdouniSwitzerland · FW
0.56
3
47
Borja IglesiasSpain · FW
0.55
3
48
Ayoub El KaabiMorocco · FW
0.55
3
49
Wout WeghorstNetherlands · FW
0.55
3
50
Michael GregoritschAustria · FW
0.54
3
51
Nico WilliamsSpain · FW
0.54
3
52
Viktor GyökeresSweden · FW
0.53
3
53
Víctor MuñozSpain · FW
0.52
3
54
Mohamed SalahEgypt · FW
0.51
3
55
Marcus ThuramFrance · FW
0.51
3
56
Erling HaalandNorway · FW
0.50
3
57
Jhon CórdobaColombia · FW
0.50
3
58
Amine GouiriAlgeria · FW
0.49
3
59
Donyell MalenNetherlands · FW
0.49
3
60
Charles De KetelaereBelgium · FW
0.49
3
61
Noni MaduekeEngland · FW
0.48
3
62
Abde EzzalzouliMorocco · FW
0.48
3
63
Matias Fernandez-PardoBelgium · FW
0.48
3
64
Christian PulisicUSA · FW
0.47
3
65
Sadio ManéSenegal · FW
0.47
3
66
Michael OliseFrance · FW
0.46
3
67
Cody GakpoNetherlands · FW
0.45
3
68
Jeremy ArévaloEcuador · FW
0.45
3
69
Ousmane DembéléFrance · FW
0.45
3
70
Cucho HernándezColombia · FW
0.44
3
71
Anthony ElangaSweden · FW
0.44
3
72
Désiré DouéFrance · FW
0.44
3
73
Ante BudimirCroatia · FW
0.44
3
74
Nilson AnguloEcuador · FW
0.44
3
75
Julian RyersonNorway · FW
0.44
3
76
Alexander SørlothNorway · FW
0.43
3
77
Ayoube AmaimouniMorocco · FW
0.43
3
78
Anis Hadj MoussaAlgeria · FW
0.43
3
79
Ben Gannon-DoakScotland · FW
0.42
3
80
Jørgen Strand LarsenNorway · FW
0.42
3
81
Jamal MusialaGermany · MF
0.41
3
82
Facundo PellistriUruguay · FW
0.41
3
83
Jordy CaicedoEcuador · FW
0.41
3
84
Tani OluwaseyiCanada · FW
0.41
3
85
Ayase UedaJapan · FW
0.41
3
86
Santiago GiménezMexico · FW
0.41
3
87
Kento ShiogaiJapan · FW
0.41
3
88
Ali AhmedCanada · FW
0.41
3
89
Amad DialloIvory Coast · FW
0.40
3
90
Gustaf NilssonSweden · FW
0.40
3
91
Antonio NusaNorway · FW
0.40
3
92
Gonçalo RamosPortugal · FW
0.40
3
93
João FélixPortugal · FW
0.40
3
94
Farès GhedjemisAlgeria · FW
0.40
3
95
Anthony GordonEngland · FW
0.40
3
96
Crysencio SummervilleNetherlands · FW
0.40
3
97
Deniz GülTurkey · FW
0.40
3
98
Kerem AktürkoğluTurkey · FW
0.40
3
99
John YeboahEcuador · FW
0.40
3
100
Yoane WissaDR Congo · FW
0.40
3
101
Cho Gue-sungSouth Korea · FW
0.39
3
102
Thiago AlmadaArgentina · FW
0.39
3
103
Giuliano SimeoneArgentina · FW
0.39
3
104
Ange-Yoan BonnyIvory Coast · FW
0.39
3
105
Brian BrobbeyNetherlands · FW
0.39
3
106
Tajon BuchananCanada · FW
0.39
3
107
Kenan YıldızTurkey · FW
0.39
3
108
Keisuke GotōJapan · FW
0.38
3
109
Christian FassnachtSwitzerland · FW
0.38
3
110
Hamza AbdelkarimEgypt · FW
0.38
3
111
Ibrahim MbayeSenegal · FW
0.38
3
112
Aleksandar PavlovićGermany · MF
0.38
3
113
Lennart KarlGermany · MF
0.38
3
114
Jean-Philippe MatetaFrance · FW
0.37
3
115
Mathew LeckieAustralia · FW
0.37
3
116
Giorgian de ArrascaetaUruguay · MF
0.37
3
117
Igor MatanovićCroatia · FW
0.37
3
118
Nico PazArgentina · FW
0.36
3
119
Cristian VolpatoAustralia · FW
0.36
3
120
Noa LangNetherlands · FW
0.36
3
Expected goals = sum of the player's per-match goal expectation across the group stage (minutes/role-weighted). Anytime-scorer prices for a specific match are on each match page. Not advice — information only.
For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Please bet responsibly. Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works →