Skip to content
SimplePro
⚽ Expected goals

TOP SCORERS

Players ranked by total expected goals across the 762 fixtures still to be played (2026-09-11 to 2026-10-16) — minutes- and role-weighted, from the same model that prices each match.

PlayerExp goalsGP
1
Adam TahauiNEC Nijmegen · RM
5.47
4
2
Lionel MessiInter Miami CF · CF-R
4.26
5
3
Kylian MbappéReal Madrid · F
3.74
5
4
Erling HaalandManchester City · F
3.71
5
5
David GardenExcelsior · F
3.62
4
6
Jota SilvaOlympiacos · SUB
3.54
4
7
Lamine YamalBarcelona · AM-R
3.49
5
8
Samed BazdarSint-Truidense · SUB
3.20
4
9
Luis SuárezSporting CP · F
3.13
4
10
Nicolo TresoldiClub Brugge · F
3.06
4
11
Edvin AustbøWest Ham United · SUB
3.05
5
12
Son Heung-MinLAFC · F
2.99
5
13
RaphinhaBarcelona · AM-L
2.98
5
14
Harry KaneBayern Munich · F
2.98
4
15
Robert LewandowskiChicago Fire FC · F
2.82
6
16
Luis RodriguezReal Valladolid · AM
2.80
5
17
Thiago SantanaV-Varen Nagasaki · F
2.80
3
18
Patrik SchickBayer Leverkusen · F
2.79
4
19
Gabriel BarbosaSantos · F
2.78
9
20
Brian WhiteVancouver Whitecaps · F
2.73
6
21
2.65
4
22
Rafa LlorenteAtlético de San Luis · CF-L
2.63
4
23
Ronaldo MartínezVélez Sarsfield · F
2.62
4
24
Martín OjedaOrlando City SC · CF-L
2.60
5
25
Danylo SikanAnderlecht · SUB
2.55
4
26
Jacob BergstromMjällby AIF · F
2.54
1
27
Ilias KoutsoupiasAnderlecht · CM
2.53
4
28
Devin HaenWillem II · F
2.50
3
29
EvanderFC Cincinnati · AM
2.49
5
30
Kaina TanimuraYokohama F. Marinos · F
2.46
3
31
Hugo LópezFC Andorra · SUB
2.45
4
32
Miguel MerentielBoca Juniors · CF-L
2.43
5
33
Barnabás VargaAEK Athens · CF-R
2.43
4
34
Denis BouangaLAFC · LF
2.39
5
35
Marco HoffmanTSV Hartberg · CF-R
2.36
4
36
Esteban LepaulStade Rennais · CF-R
2.35
4
37
Ousmane CamaraCastellón · F
2.34
4
38
Cristian TarragonaUnión (Santa Fe) · CF-R
2.34
4
39
Ángel Di MaríaRosario Central · AM
2.33
4
40
Tom ReynersLommel SK · AM-R
2.33
3
41
André ClóvisAcadémico de Viseu · F
2.32
3
42
Gustav GranathPanetolikos · CD-R
2.31
3
43
Rafael NavarroSt. Louis CITY SC · F
2.29
5
44
Moses UsorLASK Linz · CF-R
2.28
4
45
Mustapha UbandomaRAAL La Louvière · CF-L
2.28
3
46
Julien DominguesAl Kholood · F
2.27
3
47
Marcus CaldeiraMinnesota United FC · CF-R
2.27
5
48
HelinhoToluca · SUB
2.26
5
49
Vangelis PavlidisBenfica · F
2.24
4
50
Lautaro De LeónFC Andorra · F
2.21
4
51
Josh FowlerSt Johnstone · F
2.19
2
52
Nicolas JacksonAston Villa · SUB
2.17
5
53
Alexander MachadoBanfield · CF-L
2.16
4
54
Julián ÁlvarezAtlético Madrid · CF-L
2.14
5
55
Lautaro MartínezInternazionale · CF-L
2.12
4
56
Ayase UedaLille · F
2.10
4
57
Donyell MalenAS Roma · F
2.10
4
58
Anders DreyerSan Diego FC · RF
2.10
5
59
Michael OliseBayern Munich · AM-R
2.09
4
60
Cristiano RonaldoAl Nassr · F
2.08
3
61
Yanis BegraouiEstoril · F
2.07
3
62
Dejan JoveljicSeattle Sounders FC · F
2.06
7
63
Marcus ThuramInternazionale · CF-R
2.05
4
64
Kristoffer VeldePortland Timbers · AM-R
2.04
5
65
2.03
4
66
Younes EbnoutalibEintracht Frankfurt · F
2.02
4
67
Ricardo PepiPSV Eindhoven · F
2.02
4
68
Pau VíctorBraga · F
2.02
4
69
Agus MedinaAlbacete · CF-R
2.02
4
70
Kyosuke MochiyamaKawasaki Frontale · SUB
2.01
3
71
Juan OteroSporting Gijón · F
2.00
4
72
Serhou GuirassyBorussia Dortmund · F
2.00
4
73
Troy ParrottReal Betis · F
1.99
4
74
Jordi EscobarCeuta · SUB
1.99
4
75
Jordy CaicedoHuracán · F
1.98
4
76
Ignacio RussoTigre · CF-R
1.97
4
77
Mamadou KonéLorient · F
1.95
3
78
Jorge PomboKifisia · AM
1.95
3
79
David GonzálezBurgos · RM
1.94
4
80
Ante BudimirOsasuna · F
1.94
4
81
Benjamin SeskoManchester United · F
1.93
5
82
Vitor RoquePalmeiras · F
1.92
5
83
Kasper HøghCeltic · F
1.91
3
84
Kerim AlajbegovicJuventus · SUB
1.91
4
85
Patrick GreilSC Rheindorf Altach · CF-L
1.91
3
86
Luis SuárezInter Miami CF · CF-L
1.91
5
87
Igor ThiagoBrentford · F
1.90
4
88
Claudio SpinelliVasco da Gama · F
1.90
5
89
Hany MukhtarNashville SC · AM
1.89
5
90
Bruno FernandesManchester United · AM
1.89
5
91
Tonni AdamsenRapid Vienna · AM
1.88
4
92
Paul OnuachuTrabzonspor · F
1.88
4
93
Mason GreenwoodFenerbahce · AM-R
1.87
4
94
Tai BariboD.C. United · CF-R
1.86
5
95
Sam SurridgeNashville SC · F
1.86
5
96
Preston JuddSan Jose Earthquakes · F
1.86
5
97
Georges MikautadzeVillarreal · CF-L
1.86
5
98
Jonathan BurkardtEintracht Frankfurt · F
1.86
4
99
Can UzunEintracht Frankfurt · AM
1.86
4
100
Juan BrunettaTigres UANL · AM
1.86
4
101
Nico PazComo · AM
1.86
4
102
Philip ZinckernagelChicago Fire FC · RF
1.85
6
103
Bruno SepúlvedaPlatense · SUB
1.85
5
104
Antoine GriezmannOrlando City SC · SUB
1.85
5
105
Haris TabakovicRB Salzburg · F
1.84
3
106
Germán BerterameInter Miami CF · F
1.84
5
107
Gilberto MoraTijuana · CM-L
1.83
5
108
Hirving LozanoLA Galaxy · SUB
1.83
5
109
Matheus CunhaManchester United · AM-L
1.83
5
110
Enzo BardeliLevante · CM-R
1.83
4
111
Vinícius JúniorReal Madrid · CF-L
1.82
5
112
LucianoSão Paulo · CF-R
1.82
5
113
Carlos ViníciusGrêmio · F
1.82
5
114
Thomas MüllerVancouver Whitecaps · AM
1.81
6
115
Guilherme AugustoHouston Dynamo FC · AM-L
1.80
5
116
Mateusz BoguszHouston Dynamo FC · SUB
1.80
5
117
Kelvin YeboahMinnesota United FC · F
1.80
5
118
Jalen BlesaRio Ave · CF-R
1.79
3
119
Yannick EduardoADO Den Haag · CF-L
1.79
3
120
Louis MunteanuD.C. United · CF-L
1.78
5
Expected goals = sum of the player's per-match goal expectation across the fixtures above (minutes/role-weighted). Anytime-scorer prices for one match are on that match page. Not advice — information only.
For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Please bet responsibly. Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works →